Cruz Azul 3-0 Atletico San Luis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 16 Mar 2025

Cruz Azul
3-0 HT 2-0
Atletico San Luis
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Cruz Azul vs Atletico San Luis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.43
Over 2.5
49%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
22%
2.61
6+ Goals
10%
6.57
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.8 — our 27% vs market 15.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
72%
-15.2pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.3pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.2pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cruz Azul v Atletico San Luis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -9%
2.15/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.76
-7% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
427 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
24.2 Crosses 13.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Cruz Azul vs Atletico San Luis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruz Azul
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.45 xG 1.43
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
369 Passes 339
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.09.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 3-1 HT 2-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
11.02.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 3-0 HT 1-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
30.09.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-2 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
19.03.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
27.07.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
25.04.2022 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK

Cruz Azul 3-0 Atletico San Luis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruz Azul
3-0
AWAY Atletico San Luis
2.09 xG 0.47
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 8
386 Passes 350
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cruz Azul vs Atletico San Luis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul ran out comfortable winners over Atletico San Luis 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cruz Azul had 53% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 47%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.09 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cruz Azul and 0.83 for Atletico San Luis.

What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Atletico San Luis?

Cruz Azul 3-0 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Atletico San Luis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 57%, draw 24%, Atletico San Luis 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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