Atlas 1-3 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
50%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
12%
12.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
23%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
50%
Away Win
51%
-0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlas EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 55%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.02/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.94
-3% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 83%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
16.7 Crosses 18.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlas
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Club America
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.77 xG 2.18
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
293 Passes 446
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.09.2024 Club America Club America 3-0 HT 1-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
10.08.2024 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 1-0 Atlas Atlas CONLK
03.03.2024 Atlas Atlas 1-5 HT 1-2 Club America Club America MEK
21.08.2023 Club America Club America 1-1 HT 1-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
26.02.2023 Atlas Atlas 2-2 HT 1-2 Club America Club America MEK
03.07.2022 Club America Club America 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlas
1-3
AWAY Club America
1.96 xG 1.59
46% Ball Possession 54%
22 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
256 Passes 318
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atlas vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America beat Atlas 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Atlas had 46% of the ball to Club America's 54%, shots finished 22-19, expected goals 1.96 to 1.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atlas and 2.17 for Club America.

What was the final score of Atlas vs Club America?

Atlas 1-3 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlas vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atlas 26%, draw 24%, Club America 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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