Guadalajara vs FC Juarez Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guadalajara v FC Juarez — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs FC Juarez Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Guadalajara
MEK
1-2
HT 0-2
Guadalajara
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
FC Juarez
MEK
Guadalajara 1-2 FC Juarez — Actual Match Statistics
FC Juarez nicked a narrow win over Guadalajara 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Guadalajara at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Guadalajara had 68% of the ball to FC Juarez's 32%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 2.25 to 1.31 — the balance of chances actually favoured Guadalajara.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Guadalajara and 0.67 for FC Juarez.
What was the final score of Guadalajara vs FC Juarez?
Guadalajara 1-2 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs FC Juarez?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 50%, draw 30%, FC Juarez 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.