Guadalajara 1-2 FC Juarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒02:07 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.03
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.41
6+ Goals
8%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 32% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.0pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.8pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+9.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-9.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +20%
1.66/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.37
+3% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 76%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
20.9 Crosses 18.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guadalajara
3W-3D-0L
AWAY FC Juarez
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.96 xG 1.09
52% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
349 Passes 326
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-1 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
01.09.2024 Guadalajara Guadalajara 5-0 HT 4-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
11.02.2024 Guadalajara Guadalajara 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
19.08.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-1 HT 0-1 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
29.01.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-2 HT 0-2 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
03.07.2022 Guadalajara Guadalajara 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guadalajara
1-2
AWAY FC Juarez
2.25 xG 1.31
68% Ball Possession 32%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
480 Passes 196
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guadalajara vs FC Juarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Juarez nicked a narrow win over Guadalajara 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Guadalajara at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guadalajara had 68% of the ball to FC Juarez's 32%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 2.25 to 1.31 — the balance of chances actually favoured Guadalajara.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Guadalajara and 0.67 for FC Juarez.

What was the final score of Guadalajara vs FC Juarez?

Guadalajara 1-2 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs FC Juarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 50%, draw 30%, FC Juarez 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guadalajara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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