Tigres UANL vs Club America Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tigres UANL v Club America — Team-Based Signals
Tigres UANL vs Club America Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Tigres UANL
MESK
3-0
HT 0-0
Tigres UANL
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Club America
MEK
Tigres UANL 1-3 Club America — Actual Match Statistics
Club America beat Tigres UANL 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Tigres UANL at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Tigres UANL had 59% of the ball to Club America's 41%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.21 to 1.34.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tigres UANL and 1.83 for Club America.
What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Club America?
Tigres UANL 1-3 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Club America?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 50%, draw 25%, Club America 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.