Club America 3-0 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 29% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.58/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.41
+5% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
17.9 Crosses 15.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tigres UANL
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.41 xG 1.07
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
409 Passes 422
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.07.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-0 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
30.06.2024 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 2-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MESK
10.03.2024 Club America Club America 2-0 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
18.12.2023 Club America Club America 3-0 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
15.12.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-1 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
12.11.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-0 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
3-0
AWAY Tigres UANL
1.82 xG 0.38
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 8
300 Passes 461
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
24 Box Touches 10
7 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club America vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America swept aside Tigres UANL 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Club America had 40% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 60%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.82 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Club America and 0.50 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of Club America vs Tigres UANL?

Club America 3-0 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Club America 50%, draw 26%, Tigres UANL 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK More Mexico - Primera
30 Mar 2025
02:00 Toluca vs Pachuca Analysis →
02:00 FC Juarez vs Puebla Analysis →
06:05 Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul Analysis →
06:15 Monterrey vs Tijuana Analysis →