Tigres UANL 1-0 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 18 Jul 2024

Tigres UANL
1-0 HT 0-0
Club America
📅18/07/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Tigres UANL vs Club America Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 30% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.3pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.2pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tigres UANL v Club America — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +19%
1.56/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.01
+1% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +38%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
20.8 Crosses 15.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Tigres UANL vs Club America Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Club America
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.01 xG 1.39
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
422 Passes 402
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.06.2024 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 2-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MESK
10.03.2024 Club America Club America 2-0 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
18.12.2023 Club America Club America 3-0 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
15.12.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-1 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
12.11.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-0 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
12.03.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-2 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK

Tigres UANL 1-0 Club America — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres UANL
1-0
AWAY Club America
1.08 xG 1.63
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 1
425 Passes 374
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 23
29 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tigres UANL vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres UANL edged past Club America 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Tigres UANL had 54% of the ball to Club America's 46%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.08 to 1.63 — the balance of chances actually favoured Club America.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Tigres UANL and 1.67 for Club America.

What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Club America?

Tigres UANL 1-0 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 44%, draw 23%, Club America 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✓ BTTS No
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