FC Juarez vs Pumas UNAM Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Juarez v Pumas UNAM — Team-Based Signals
FC Juarez vs Pumas UNAM Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 3-0
Pumas UNAM
MEK
2-1
HT 0-1
FC Juarez
MEK
3-1
HT 2-1
Pumas UNAM
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Pumas UNAM
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
FC Juarez
MEK
FC Juarez 1-2 Pumas UNAM — Actual Match Statistics
Pumas UNAM edged past FC Juarez 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was FC Juarez at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, FC Juarez had 49% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 51%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.86 to 0.47.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Juarez and 1.17 for Pumas UNAM.
What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Pumas UNAM?
FC Juarez 1-2 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Juarez vs Pumas UNAM?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Juarez win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 41%, draw 27%, Pumas UNAM 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Juarez), Under 2.5 went the other way.