Monterrey vs Tijuana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterrey v Tijuana — Team-Based Signals
Monterrey vs Tijuana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Tijuana
MEK
4-0
HT 3-0
Tijuana
MEK
0-3
HT 0-0
Monterrey
MEK
2-0
HT 1-0
Tijuana
MEK
Monterrey 1-2 Tijuana — Actual Match Statistics
Tijuana nicked a narrow win over Monterrey 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Monterrey at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Monterrey had 68% of the ball to Tijuana's 32%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 2.45 to 0.93 — the balance of chances actually favoured Monterrey.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Monterrey and 0.67 for Tijuana.
What was the final score of Monterrey vs Tijuana?
Monterrey 1-2 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Tijuana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 63%, draw 20%, Tijuana 17%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monterrey) went the other way.