Monterrey vs Tijuana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Monterrey v Tijuana — Team-Based Signals
Monterrey vs Tijuana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Monterrey 1-2 Tijuana — Actual Match Statistics
Tijuana came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Monterrey 2-1 on their travels. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Monterrey at 74% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (60%) landed.
On the day, possession split 68% to 32% in Monterrey's favour, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 2.45 to 0.93 — by the quality of chances, Monterrey deserved more.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for Monterrey against 0.67 for Tijuana.
Monterrey vs Tijuana Result & Final Score
Monterrey 1 - 2 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Monterrey vs Tijuana Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 74%, draw 15%, Tijuana 11%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monterrey) went the other way.