Tijuana vs Monterrey Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tijuana v Monterrey — Team-Based Signals
Tijuana vs Monterrey Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Tijuana
MEK
4-0
HT 3-0
Tijuana
MEK
0-3
HT 0-0
Monterrey
MEK
2-0
HT 1-0
Tijuana
MEK
2-2
HT 1-2
Monterrey
MEK
Tijuana 2-2 Monterrey — Actual Match Statistics
Tijuana and Monterrey couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Tijuana had 51% of the ball to Monterrey's 49%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.39 to 2.72.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tijuana and 2.50 for Monterrey.
What was the final score of Tijuana vs Monterrey?
Tijuana 2-2 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Monterrey?
Before kick-off our model rated an Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 37%, draw 24%, Monterrey 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.