Queretaro 0-2 Cruz Azul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 24 Aug 2024

Queretaro
0-2 HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Queretaro vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
31%
4.19
Away
46%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.18
Over 2.5
41%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
4.24
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
18%
3.0
6+ Goals
6%
9.26
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.24 — our 33% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+8.8pp
31%
Draw
20%
+10.6pp
46%
Away Win
66%
-19.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
42%
+17.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
58%
-17.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queretaro v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queretaro EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 70%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.81/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.15
-36% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -32%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
229 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 85%
14.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
16.7 Crosses 19.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.2

Queretaro vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queretaro
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cruz Azul
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.17 xG 1.74
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
273 Passes 313
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Queretaro Queretaro 1-3 HT 1-3 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
25.09.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-3 HT 1-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
30.03.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 2-2 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
28.08.2022 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-1 HT 1-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
22.04.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 0-1 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
20.09.2021 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-0 HT 1-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK

Queretaro 0-2 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queretaro
0-2
AWAY Cruz Azul
0.29 xG 2.02
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
238 Passes 488
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 43
10 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Queretaro vs Cruz Azul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul saw off Queretaro 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Queretaro had 36% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 64%, shots finished 3-23, expected goals 0.29 to 2.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Queretaro and 1.83 for Cruz Azul.

What was the final score of Queretaro vs Cruz Azul?

Queretaro 0-2 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queretaro vs Cruz Azul?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 23%, draw 31%, Cruz Azul 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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