Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Guadalajara v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Guadalajara 0-1 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul found just enough to beat Guadalajara 1-0 on their travels.
The model refused to pick a side here (31% / 30% / 39%); Cruz Azul picked one for it. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, possession split 56% to 44% in Guadalajara's favour, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.95 to 0.50 — by the quality of chances, Guadalajara deserved more.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Guadalajara against 1.17 for Cruz Azul.
Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul Result & Final Score
Guadalajara 0 - 1 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 31%, draw 30%, Cruz Azul 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.