Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guadalajara v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Cruz Azul
MEK
2-1
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
2-1
HT 1-0
Guadalajara
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Guadalajara
MEK
Guadalajara 0-1 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul edged past Guadalajara 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Cruz Azul found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Guadalajara had 56% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 44%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.95 to 0.50 — on chances, Guadalajara could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Guadalajara and 1.17 for Cruz Azul.
What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul?
Guadalajara 0-1 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 34%, draw 27%, Cruz Azul 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.