Pachuca 0-2 Tijuana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
12%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
23%
2.51
6+ Goals
12%
5.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
29%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
68%
+1.2pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.6pp
12%
Away Win
14%
-1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pachuca EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Tijuana EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
1.87/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.91
-7% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
22.0 Crosses 14.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Tijuana
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.82 xG 1.54
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
325 Passes 274
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2025 Pachuca Pachuca 4-1 HT 2-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
05.10.2024 Tijuana Tijuana 2-1 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
04.02.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 3-2 HT 2-1 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
11.11.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 2-3 HT 1-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
27.02.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 2-0 HT 2-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
12.09.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 6-1 HT 2-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
0-2
AWAY Tijuana
1.35 xG 0.91
69% Ball Possession 31%
24 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 1
477 Passes 181
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
40 Box Touches 9
38 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Pachuca vs Tijuana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tijuana saw off Pachuca 2-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Pachuca carried 69% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Pachuca had 69% of the ball to Tijuana's 31%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 1.35 to 0.91 — on chances, Pachuca could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Pachuca and 1.67 for Tijuana.

What was the final score of Pachuca vs Tijuana?

Pachuca 0-2 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Tijuana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 69%, draw 19%, Tijuana 12%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Pachuca), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pachuca) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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