Atlas 0-2 Monterrey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 28% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.0pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlas EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterrey EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.39/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.25
-7% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
18.4 Crosses 17.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlas
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Monterrey
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.14 xG 1.66
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
280 Passes 402
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2026 Atlas Atlas 0-0 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
27.07.2025 Monterrey Monterrey 3-1 HT 1-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
30.01.2025 Atlas Atlas 3-3 HT 2-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
03.11.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 4-0 HT 3-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
18.03.2024 Atlas Atlas 1-2 HT 0-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
10.07.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlas
0-2
AWAY Monterrey
0.43 xG 1.82
9 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
321 Passes 390
20 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atlas vs Monterrey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey beat Atlas 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Monterrey made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.43 to 1.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atlas and 2.17 for Monterrey.

What was the final score of Atlas vs Monterrey?

Atlas 0-2 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlas vs Monterrey?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atlas 34%, draw 27%, Monterrey 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monterrey) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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