Atlas 0-0 Monterrey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 31% vs market 23.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlas EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterrey EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.39/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.36
+0% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
291 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
18.4 Crosses 17.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlas
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Monterrey
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.07 xG 1.63
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
306 Passes 394
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.07.2025 Monterrey Monterrey 3-1 HT 1-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
30.01.2025 Atlas Atlas 3-3 HT 2-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
03.11.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 4-0 HT 3-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
18.03.2024 Atlas Atlas 1-2 HT 0-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
10.07.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
10.02.2023 Atlas Atlas 0-2 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlas
0-0
AWAY Monterrey
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
283 Passes 385
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH Atlas vs Monterrey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlas and Monterrey played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Atlas had 45% of the ball to Monterrey's 55%, shots finished 10-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atlas and 2.50 for Monterrey.

What was the final score of Atlas vs Monterrey?

Atlas 0-0 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlas vs Monterrey?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atlas 35%, draw 27%, Monterrey 38%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Monterrey) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monterrey) ✓ Under 2.5
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