Pumas UNAM vs Mazatlan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pumas UNAM v Mazatlan — Team-Based Signals
Pumas UNAM vs Mazatlan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Mazatlan
MEK
1-2
HT 1-0
Pumas UNAM
MEK
Pumas UNAM 3-1 Mazatlan — Actual Match Statistics
Pumas UNAM got the better of Mazatlan 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pumas UNAM as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Pumas UNAM had 61% of the ball to Mazatlan's 39%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 2.13 to 1.80.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pumas UNAM and 0.33 for Mazatlan.
What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Mazatlan?
Pumas UNAM 3-1 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Mazatlan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 65%, draw 19%, Mazatlan 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pumas UNAM), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.