Pumas UNAM vs Mazatlan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pumas UNAM v Mazatlan — Team-Based Signals
Pumas UNAM vs Mazatlan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Mazatlan
MEK
1-2
HT 1-0
Pumas UNAM
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Mazatlan
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Mazatlan
MEK
Pumas UNAM 1-0 Mazatlan — Actual Match Statistics
Pumas UNAM squeezed past Mazatlan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Pumas UNAM as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Pumas UNAM had 59% of the ball to Mazatlan's 41%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.70 to 0.52.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pumas UNAM and 0.50 for Mazatlan.
What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Mazatlan?
Pumas UNAM 1-0 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Mazatlan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 44%, draw 29%, Mazatlan 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pumas UNAM), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.