Pumas UNAM vs Mazatlan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Pumas UNAM v Mazatlan — Team-Based Signals
Pumas UNAM vs Mazatlan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Pumas UNAM 1-0 Mazatlan — Actual Match Statistics
Pumas UNAM shaded a tight game against Mazatlan 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pumas UNAM as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 46% on both teams scoring. At 1.66 (~60%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
By the numbers, Pumas UNAM had 59% of the ball to Mazatlan's 41%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.70 to 0.52.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pumas UNAM and 0.50 for Mazatlan.
Pumas UNAM vs Mazatlan Result & Final Score
Pumas UNAM 1 - 0 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Pumas UNAM vs Mazatlan Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 62%, draw 24%, Mazatlan 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pumas UNAM), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.