Guadalajara vs Tijuana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guadalajara v Tijuana — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Tijuana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Tijuana
MEK
2-1
HT 1-1
Tijuana
MEK
1-2
HT 0-0
Guadalajara
MEK
2-1
HT 1-1
Tijuana
MEK
Guadalajara 2-1 Tijuana — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara squeezed past Tijuana 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Guadalajara had 34% of the ball to Tijuana's 66%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 2.56 to 1.37.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Guadalajara and 1.33 for Tijuana.
What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Tijuana?
Guadalajara 2-1 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Tijuana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 53%, draw 26%, Tijuana 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.