Club America 1-1 Cruz Azul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.5pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +18%
1.17/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.38
-48% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
17.5 Crosses 15.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cruz Azul
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 0.91
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
369 Passes 297
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-1 HT 1-1 Club America Club America MEK
19.05.2025 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
16.05.2025 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-0 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
13.04.2025 Club America Club America 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
09.04.2025 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-1 HT 1-0 Club America Club America CON
02.04.2025 Club America Club America 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
1-1
AWAY Cruz Azul
0.40 xG 0.72
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
404 Passes 334
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Club America vs Cruz Azul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America and Cruz Azul couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Club America had 54% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 46%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.40 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Club America and 1.00 for Cruz Azul.

What was the final score of Club America vs Cruz Azul?

Club America 1-1 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Cruz Azul?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Club America 34%, draw 28%, Cruz Azul 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cruz Azul) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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