Club America vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Club America v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
Club America vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Club America 2-1 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
Club America edged past Cruz Azul 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Club America had 67% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 33%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 2.25 to 0.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Club America's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Club America and 1.00 for Cruz Azul.
What was the final score of Club America vs Cruz Azul?
Club America 2-1 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Club America vs Cruz Azul?
Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Club America 48%, draw 28%, Cruz Azul 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.