Cruz Azul 1-0 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
1.23/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.96
+7% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.6 Crosses 14.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruz Azul
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Club America
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 0.90
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
362 Passes 312
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Club America Club America 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
09.04.2025 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-1 HT 1-0 Club America Club America CON
02.04.2025 Club America Club America 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul CON
09.12.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 3-4 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK
06.12.2024 Club America Club America 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
01.09.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 4-1 HT 2-1 Club America Club America MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruz Azul
1-0
AWAY Club America
0.70 xG 0.42
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
277 Passes 381
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cruz Azul vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul nicked a narrow win over Club America 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Cruz Azul found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cruz Azul had 44% of the ball to Club America's 56%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.70 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.00 for Club America.

What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Club America?

Cruz Azul 1-0 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 37%, draw 28%, Club America 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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