Pachuca vs Santos Laguna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pachuca v Santos Laguna — Team-Based Signals
Pachuca vs Santos Laguna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
4-4
HT 3-2
Santos Laguna
MEK
Pachuca 4-2 Santos Laguna — Actual Match Statistics
Pachuca saw off Santos Laguna 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pachuca as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Pachuca had 62% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 38%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 1.38 to 0.86.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pachuca and 1.50 for Santos Laguna.
What was the final score of Pachuca vs Santos Laguna?
Pachuca 4-2 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Santos Laguna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 66%, draw 18%, Santos Laguna 17%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pachuca), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.