Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tigres UANL v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tigres UANL 4-1 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Tigres UANL dismantled Guadalajara 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
The model refused to pick a side here (38% / 28% / 34%); Tigres UANL picked one for it. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Guadalajara saw more of the ball, 68% to 32%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.67 to 0.89.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Tigres UANL against 0.67 for Guadalajara.
Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Result & Final Score
Tigres UANL 4 - 1 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 38%, draw 28%, Guadalajara 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.