Santos Laguna 1-0 Pachuca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 10 Nov 2025

📅10/11/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
52%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.98
4-5 Goals
27%
2.57
6+ Goals
14%
6.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.6pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.4pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-2.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.7pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Pachuca EU Bookmakers 59%
+15% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
1.32/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.93
+8% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 83%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
18.6 Crosses 17.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos Laguna
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Pachuca
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.42 xG 1.82
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
312 Passes 317
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2025 Pachuca Pachuca 2-1 HT 2-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
23.10.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-1 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
21.04.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-2 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
19.09.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 3-2 HT 1-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
07.05.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 4-4 HT 3-2 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
10.04.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-4 HT 1-2 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos Laguna
1-0
AWAY Pachuca
1.48 xG 1.12
38% Ball Possession 62%
18 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
241 Passes 458
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
26 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Santos Laguna vs Pachuca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos Laguna squeezed past Pachuca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pachuca at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santos Laguna had 38% of the ball to Pachuca's 62%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 1.48 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santos Laguna and 2.67 for Pachuca.

What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Pachuca?

Santos Laguna 1-0 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 10/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Pachuca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 27%, draw 21%, Pachuca 53%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pachuca) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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