Santos Laguna vs Pachuca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santos Laguna v Pachuca — Team-Based Signals
Santos Laguna vs Pachuca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
4-4
HT 3-2
Santos Laguna
MEK
1-4
HT 1-2
Pachuca
MEK
Santos Laguna 1-0 Pachuca — Actual Match Statistics
Santos Laguna squeezed past Pachuca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Pachuca at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Santos Laguna had 38% of the ball to Pachuca's 62%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 1.48 to 1.12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santos Laguna and 2.67 for Pachuca.
What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Pachuca?
Santos Laguna 1-0 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 10/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Pachuca?
Before kick-off our model rated an Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 27%, draw 21%, Pachuca 53%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.