Cruz Azul 2-1 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 32% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -14%
1.19/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.03
+3% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
308 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
20.3 Crosses 16.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruz Azul
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Club America
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.06 xG 1.14
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
303 Passes 357
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2025 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
16.05.2025 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-0 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
13.04.2025 Club America Club America 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
09.04.2025 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-1 HT 1-0 Club America Club America CON
02.04.2025 Club America Club America 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul CON
09.12.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 3-4 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruz Azul
2-1
AWAY Club America
1.49 xG 0.73
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 3
366 Passes 319
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 6
7 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cruz Azul vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul edged past Club America 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Cruz Azul found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cruz Azul had 53% of the ball to Club America's 47%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.49 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.17 for Club America.

What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Club America?

Cruz Azul 2-1 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 35%, draw 29%, Club America 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club America), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club America) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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