FC Juarez 2-2 Pachuca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 32% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Pachuca EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +14%
1.22/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.35
+2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
257 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.6 Crosses 15.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Juarez
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Pachuca
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.12 xG 1.10
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
293 Passes 340
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 FC Juarez FC Juarez 2-2 HT 2-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
10.11.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
03.03.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 3-2 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
21.10.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-1 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
23.01.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 4-1 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
15.09.2022 FC Juarez FC Juarez 2-1 HT 2-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Juarez
2-2
AWAY Pachuca
1.05 xG 0.43
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 0
276 Passes 448
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FC Juarez vs Pachuca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Juarez and Pachuca couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Juarez had 40% of the ball to Pachuca's 60%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.05 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Juarez and 1.83 for Pachuca.

What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Pachuca?

FC Juarez 2-2 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Juarez vs Pachuca?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Juarez win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 36%, draw 29%, Pachuca 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Juarez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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