Pachuca 0-1 FC Juarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.87
6+ Goals
13%
8.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-5.0pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.7pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pachuca EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
2.01/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.50
+4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
21.9 Crosses 16.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Juarez
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.10 xG 0.96
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
322 Passes 258
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 3-2 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
21.10.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-1 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
23.01.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 4-1 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
15.09.2022 FC Juarez FC Juarez 2-1 HT 2-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
16.04.2022 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-2 HT 1-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
25.10.2021 Pachuca Pachuca 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
0-1
AWAY FC Juarez
0.65 xG 0.64
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
453 Passes 337
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 7
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pachuca vs FC Juarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Juarez nicked a narrow win over Pachuca 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Pachuca at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pachuca had 56% of the ball to FC Juarez's 44%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.65 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pachuca and 1.17 for FC Juarez.

What was the final score of Pachuca vs FC Juarez?

Pachuca 0-1 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pachuca vs FC Juarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 57%, draw 20%, FC Juarez 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Pachuca), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pachuca) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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