Guadalajara 0-1 Atletico San Luis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒02:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.61/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.67
+1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
21.3 Crosses 16.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guadalajara
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 0.74
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
419 Passes 244
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.02.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-2 HT 0-1 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
09.07.2023 Guadalajara Guadalajara 3-1 HT 2-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
14.01.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-0 HT 0-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
10.07.2022 Guadalajara Guadalajara 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
03.03.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-2 HT 2-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
25.07.2021 Guadalajara Guadalajara 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guadalajara
0-1
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.09 xG 0.21
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
327 Passes 435
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guadalajara vs Atletico San Luis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico San Luis nicked a narrow win over Guadalajara 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Guadalajara at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guadalajara had 45% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 55%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 1.09 to 0.21 — on chances, Guadalajara could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guadalajara and 1.00 for Atletico San Luis.

What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Atletico San Luis?

Guadalajara 0-1 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Atletico San Luis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 54%, draw 23%, Atletico San Luis 23%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guadalajara) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK More Mexico - Primera
10 Nov 2024
04:00 Pachuca vs FC Juarez Analysis →
04:00 Toluca vs Club America Analysis →
06:05 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL Analysis →