Toluca vs Club America Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toluca v Club America — Team-Based Signals
Toluca vs Club America Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Club America
MEK
2-2
HT 2-1
Club America
MEK
1-1
HT 1-1
Toluca
MEK
2-1
HT 2-0
Club America
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Toluca
MEK
Toluca 4-0 Club America — Actual Match Statistics
Toluca swept aside Club America 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Toluca made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Toluca had 45% of the ball to Club America's 55%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.21 to 0.74.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Toluca and 1.83 for Club America.
What was the final score of Toluca vs Club America?
Toluca 4-0 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toluca vs Club America?
Before kick-off our model rated a Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Toluca 39%, draw 26%, Club America 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toluca), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.