Cruz Azul 1-1 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.84
6+ Goals
10%
16.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
1.62/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.26
-14% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
331 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
19.8 Crosses 17.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruz Azul
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Tigres UANL
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.92 xG 0.99
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
363 Passes 333
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-0 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
22.10.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-1 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
05.02.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 0-1 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
03.07.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-3 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
16.05.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-1 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
13.05.2022 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 0-1 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruz Azul
1-1
AWAY Tigres UANL
2.13 xG 0.97
71% Ball Possession 29%
18 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
556 Passes 186
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
39 Box Touches 5
30 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul and Tigres UANL shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cruz Azul at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cruz Azul had 71% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 29%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 2.13 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.00 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL?

Cruz Azul 1-1 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 48%, draw 28%, Tigres UANL 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cruz Azul) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✓ Under 2.5
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