Guadalajara vs Mazatlan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guadalajara v Mazatlan — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Mazatlan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-2
Mazatlan
MEK
4-1
HT 2-1
Mazatlan
MEK
2-1
HT 0-0
Guadalajara
MEK
Guadalajara 2-0 Mazatlan — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara beat Mazatlan 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Guadalajara had 59% of the ball to Mazatlan's 41%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 2.06 to 0.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Guadalajara and 1.50 for Mazatlan.
What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Mazatlan?
Guadalajara 2-0 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Mazatlan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 65%, draw 17%, Mazatlan 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.