Monterrey 1-1 Pumas UNAM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
18%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.18
6+ Goals
14%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-1.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterrey EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.75/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.65
-3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
20.6 Crosses 15.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterrey
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Pumas UNAM
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.67 xG 1.23
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
420 Passes 295
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2025 Monterrey Monterrey 2-0 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
05.05.2025 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 0-2 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
17.03.2025 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 1-3 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
01.12.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 3-5 HT 1-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
29.11.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 1-0 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
24.10.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 0-0 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterrey
1-1
AWAY Pumas UNAM
1.83 xG 0.91
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
549 Passes 284
91% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Monterrey vs Pumas UNAM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey and Pumas UNAM shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Monterrey at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Monterrey had 63% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 37%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.83 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Monterrey and 0.67 for Pumas UNAM.

What was the final score of Monterrey vs Pumas UNAM?

Monterrey 1-1 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Pumas UNAM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 54%, draw 27%, Pumas UNAM 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monterrey), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monterrey) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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