Pumas UNAM 0-2 Monterrey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.97
6+ Goals
8%
18.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.43
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.7
X/1
10%
4.22
X/2
10%
8.73
X/X
17%
4.55
2/1
10%
26.5
2/2
11%
7.35
2/X
8%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-10.7pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterrey EU Bookmakers 25%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.67/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.54
+37% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
20.4 Crosses 15.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pumas UNAM
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Monterrey
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.06 xG 1.87
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
300 Passes 416
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2025 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 1-3 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
01.12.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 3-5 HT 1-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
29.11.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 1-0 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
24.10.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 0-0 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
04.08.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 1-1 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM CONLK
04.03.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 3-0 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pumas UNAM
0-2
AWAY Monterrey
0.75 xG 1.56
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 3
256 Passes 482
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey beat Pumas UNAM 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pumas UNAM at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pumas UNAM had 37% of the ball to Monterrey's 63%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.75 to 1.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pumas UNAM and 2.17 for Monterrey.

What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey?

Pumas UNAM 0-2 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 41%, draw 31%, Monterrey 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pumas UNAM) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pumas UNAM) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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MEK More Mexico - Primera
5 May 2025
00:00 Monterrey vs Pumas UNAM Analysis →