Monterrey 1-0 Pumas UNAM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒06:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.27
6+ Goals
7%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.18
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.1
X/1
18%
4.55
X/2
9%
6.74
X/X
18%
3.68
2/1
4%
33.0
2/2
18%
5.54
2/X
7%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterrey EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.31/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.43
-31% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
20.1 Crosses 16.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterrey
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Pumas UNAM
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.56 xG 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
405 Passes 318
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 0-0 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
04.08.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 1-1 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM CONLK
04.03.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 3-0 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
22.10.2023 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 0-1 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
30.04.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 4-1 HT 4-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
31.07.2022 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 1-1 HT 1-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterrey
1-0
AWAY Pumas UNAM
1.43 xG 0.89
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
466 Passes 235
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Monterrey vs Pumas UNAM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey squeezed past Pumas UNAM 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Monterrey made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Monterrey had 64% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 36%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.43 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Monterrey and 0.50 for Pumas UNAM.

What was the final score of Monterrey vs Pumas UNAM?

Monterrey 1-0 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Pumas UNAM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 39%, draw 29%, Pumas UNAM 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monterrey) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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