Atletico San Luis 3-0 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.65
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
4.52
6+ Goals
10%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.19
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
17%
6.71
X/2
17%
4.77
X/X
15%
3.92
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
12%
3.19
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -7%
1.15/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.10
+3% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +17%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
235 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
16.5 Crosses 18.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.50 xG 1.34
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
329 Passes 438
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
25.01.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-2 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
05.11.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-2 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
29.01.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
02.10.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-3 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
20.02.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
3-0
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.47 xG 1.16
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 11
383 Passes 403
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 31
6 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico San Luis ran out comfortable winners over Tigres UANL 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Atletico San Luis made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 48% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 52%, shots finished 7-21, expected goals 0.47 to 1.16 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tigres UANL.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atletico San Luis and 1.67 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Tigres UANL?

Atletico San Luis 3-0 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 34%, draw 28%, Tigres UANL 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Tigres UANL), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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