Monterrey 2-0 Pumas UNAM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.97
6+ Goals
11%
18.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.43
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.7
X/1
12%
4.22
X/2
9%
8.73
X/X
10%
4.55
2/1
11%
26.5
2/2
12%
7.35
2/X
11%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterrey EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.42/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.59
-20% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 75%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
21.2 Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterrey
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Pumas UNAM
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.87 xG 1.06
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
416 Passes 300
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2025 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 1-3 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
01.12.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 3-5 HT 1-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
29.11.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 1-0 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
24.10.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 0-0 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
04.08.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 1-1 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM CONLK
04.03.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 3-0 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterrey
2-0
AWAY Pumas UNAM
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
475 Passes 252
89% Pass Accuracy 80%
POST-MATCH Monterrey vs Pumas UNAM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey beat Pumas UNAM 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Monterrey as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Monterrey had 63% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 37%, shots finished 17-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Monterrey and 0.83 for Pumas UNAM.

What was the final score of Monterrey vs Pumas UNAM?

Monterrey 2-0 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Pumas UNAM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 46%, draw 26%, Pumas UNAM 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monterrey) ✗ BTTS Yes
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MEK More Mexico - Primera
5 May 2025
04:30 Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey Analysis →