Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pumas UNAM v Monterrey — Team-Based Signals
Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Monterrey
MEK
4-1
HT 4-1
Pumas UNAM
MEK
Pumas UNAM 3-5 Monterrey — Actual Match Statistics
Monterrey saw off Pumas UNAM 5-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Pumas UNAM at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Pumas UNAM had 62% of the ball to Monterrey's 38%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.68 to 1.64 — the balance of chances actually favoured Pumas UNAM.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Pumas UNAM and 1.67 for Monterrey.
What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey?
Pumas UNAM 3-5 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 49%, draw 25%, Monterrey 26%. The final score 3-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.