Cruz Azul 3-0 Tijuana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.28
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.99
4-5 Goals
24%
2.77
6+ Goals
11%
7.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.45
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
24.3
X/1
22%
3.51
X/2
7%
23.0
X/X
8%
8.4
2/1
7%
23.4
2/2
8%
17.9
2/X
6%
24.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
74%
-13.0pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.5pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Tijuana EU Bookmakers 12%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -4%
2.11/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.08
-1% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -9%
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
433 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 69%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
23.2 Crosses 14.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruz Azul
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tijuana
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 1.07
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 Passes 365
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.11.2024 Tijuana Tijuana 3-0 HT 3-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
17.07.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 3-0 HT 2-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
31.01.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
15.07.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 2-1 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
09.01.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 1-1 HT 1-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
18.08.2022 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-2 HT 1-1 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruz Azul
3-0
AWAY Tijuana
4.52 xG 0.90
57% Ball Possession 43%
28 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
342 Passes 251
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
55 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cruz Azul vs Tijuana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul ran out comfortable winners over Tijuana 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cruz Azul had 57% of the ball to Tijuana's 43%, shots finished 28-5, expected goals 4.52 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tijuana led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.33 for Tijuana.

What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Tijuana?

Cruz Azul 3-0 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Tijuana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 61%, draw 20%, Tijuana 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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