Cruz Azul 3-0 Tijuana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 17 Jul 2024

📅17/07/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.47
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
8.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-11.6pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.8pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+9.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Tijuana EU Bookmakers 18%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -16%
1.97/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.82
-15% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 77%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
23.0 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruz Azul
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Tijuana
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.91 xG 0.93
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
326 Passes 305
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
15.07.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 2-1 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
09.01.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 1-1 HT 1-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
18.08.2022 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-2 HT 1-1 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
09.01.2022 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-0 HT 1-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
04.10.2021 Tijuana Tijuana 0-1 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruz Azul
3-0
AWAY Tijuana
2.26 xG 0.45
38% Ball Possession 62%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
233 Passes 447
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cruz Azul vs Tijuana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul ran out comfortable winners over Tijuana 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Cruz Azul had 38% of the ball to Tijuana's 62%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.26 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cruz Azul and 0.83 for Tijuana.

What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Tijuana?

Cruz Azul 3-0 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Tijuana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 53%, draw 22%, Tijuana 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK More Mexico - Primera
17 Jul 2024
04:00 Queretaro vs Guadalajara Analysis →
04:00 Pachuca vs Atletico San Luis Analysis →
04:00 Atlas vs Santos Laguna Analysis →
06:00 Puebla vs Leon Analysis →