Pachuca 2-0 Atletico San Luis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 17 Jul 2024

📅17/07/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.12
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.62 — our 24% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pachuca EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.88/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.68
-2% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
23.7 Crosses 16.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.57 xG 1.21
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
358 Passes 262
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-1 HT 1-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
29.08.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
23.04.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
19.09.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-2 HT 1-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
15.05.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 3-2 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
12.05.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-2 HT 1-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
2-0
AWAY Atletico San Luis
0.80 xG 0.36
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 11
308 Passes 411
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pachuca vs Atletico San Luis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pachuca saw off Atletico San Luis 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pachuca as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Pachuca had 43% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 57%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.80 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pachuca and 1.67 for Atletico San Luis.

What was the final score of Pachuca vs Atletico San Luis?

Pachuca 2-0 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Atletico San Luis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 52%, draw 22%, Atletico San Luis 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pachuca) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pachuca) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK More Mexico - Primera
17 Jul 2024
04:00 Queretaro vs Guadalajara Analysis →
04:00 Atlas vs Santos Laguna Analysis →
06:00 Puebla vs Leon Analysis →
06:05 Cruz Azul vs Tijuana Analysis →