Atlas vs Santos Laguna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atlas v Santos Laguna — Team-Based Signals
Atlas vs Santos Laguna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Atlas
MEK
2-2
HT 0-1
Santos Laguna
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Atlas
MEK
2-1
HT 2-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
1-1
HT 0-1
Atlas
MEK
Atlas 1-0 Santos Laguna — Actual Match Statistics
Atlas squeezed past Santos Laguna 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Atlas as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Atlas had 49% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 51%, shots finished 22-2, expected goals 2.06 to 0.05 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Atlas's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlas had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atlas and 0.83 for Santos Laguna.
What was the final score of Atlas vs Santos Laguna?
Atlas 1-0 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atlas vs Santos Laguna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atlas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atlas 44%, draw 25%, Santos Laguna 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.