FC Juarez 2-2 Pachuca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.8pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.8pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Pachuca EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.15/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.25
-8% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
16.5 Crosses 16.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Juarez
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Pachuca
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.94 xG 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
276 Passes 342
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
03.03.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 3-2 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
21.10.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-1 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
23.01.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 4-1 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
15.09.2022 FC Juarez FC Juarez 2-1 HT 2-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
16.04.2022 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-2 HT 1-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Juarez
2-2
AWAY Pachuca
1.93 xG 1.08
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
342 Passes 253
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Juarez vs Pachuca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Juarez and Pachuca couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 32% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FC Juarez had 54% of the ball to Pachuca's 46%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.93 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Juarez and 1.83 for Pachuca.

What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Pachuca?

FC Juarez 2-2 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Juarez vs Pachuca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 29%, draw 32%, Pachuca 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pachuca), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pachuca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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