Leon vs Tijuana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leon v Tijuana — Team-Based Signals
Leon vs Tijuana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Tijuana
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Leon
MEK
2-2
HT 0-0
Tijuana
MEK
1-1
HT 0-1
Leon
MEK
Leon 2-1 Tijuana — Actual Match Statistics
Leon squeezed past Tijuana 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Leon as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Leon had 44% of the ball to Tijuana's 56%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.68 to 0.93.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leon and 1.00 for Tijuana.
What was the final score of Leon vs Tijuana?
Leon 2-1 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leon vs Tijuana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leon win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Leon 54%, draw 25%, Tijuana 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.