Necaxa vs Tigres UANL Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Necaxa v Tigres UANL — Team-Based Signals
Necaxa vs Tigres UANL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Tigres UANL
MEK
0-1
HT 0-1
Tigres UANL
MEK
2-0
HT 0-0
Necaxa
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Necaxa
MEK
Necaxa 1-2 Tigres UANL — Actual Match Statistics
Tigres UANL squeezed past Necaxa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Tigres UANL made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Necaxa had 45% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 55%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.83 to 2.11 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Tigres UANL's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Necaxa and 2.00 for Tigres UANL.
What was the final score of Necaxa vs Tigres UANL?
Necaxa 1-2 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Necaxa vs Tigres UANL?
Before kick-off our model rated a Necaxa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 39%, draw 26%, Tigres UANL 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Necaxa) went the other way.