Monterrey vs Atlas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterrey v Atlas — Team-Based Signals
Monterrey vs Atlas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Atlas
MEK
0-2
HT 0-0
Monterrey
MEK
2-0
HT 0-0
Atlas
MEK
Monterrey 3-1 Atlas — Actual Match Statistics
Monterrey saw off Atlas 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monterrey as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Monterrey had 71% of the ball to Atlas's 29%, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 2.83 to 1.03.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Monterrey and 0.67 for Atlas.
What was the final score of Monterrey vs Atlas?
Monterrey 3-1 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Atlas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 54%, draw 24%, Atlas 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.