Guadalajara vs Atletico San Luis Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guadalajara v Atletico San Luis — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Atletico San Luis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Atletico San Luis
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Guadalajara
MEK
0-1
HT 0-1
Atletico San Luis
MEK
Guadalajara 4-3 Atletico San Luis — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara nicked a narrow win over Atletico San Luis 4-3. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Guadalajara had 55% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 45%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.73 to 1.52.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico San Luis led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Guadalajara and 1.00 for Atletico San Luis.
What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Atletico San Luis?
Guadalajara 4-3 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Atletico San Luis?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 51%, draw 28%, Atletico San Luis 20%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.