Pachuca vs Mazatlan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Pachuca v Mazatlan — Team-Based Signals
Pachuca vs Mazatlan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Pachuca 1-0 Mazatlan — Actual Match Statistics
Pachuca came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Mazatlan 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pachuca as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, possession split 65% to 35% in Pachuca's favour, shots finished 15-2, expected goals 1.75 to 0.13 — on chances created, Pachuca won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Pachuca against 1.50 for Mazatlan.
Pachuca vs Mazatlan Result & Final Score
Pachuca 1 - 0 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Pachuca vs Mazatlan Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 71%, draw 18%, Mazatlan 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pachuca), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.