Pachuca vs Mazatlan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pachuca v Mazatlan — Team-Based Signals
Pachuca vs Mazatlan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Pachuca
MEK
2-3
HT 0-1
Pachuca
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Mazatlan
MEK
Pachuca 1-0 Mazatlan — Actual Match Statistics
Pachuca nicked a narrow win over Mazatlan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pachuca as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Pachuca had 65% of the ball to Mazatlan's 35%, shots finished 15-2, expected goals 1.75 to 0.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Pachuca's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pachuca and 1.50 for Mazatlan.
What was the final score of Pachuca vs Mazatlan?
Pachuca 1-0 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Mazatlan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 57%, draw 23%, Mazatlan 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pachuca), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.