Atlas vs Monterrey Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atlas v Monterrey — Team-Based Signals
Atlas vs Monterrey Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Atlas
MEK
0-2
HT 0-0
Monterrey
MEK
2-0
HT 0-0
Atlas
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Atlas
MEK
Atlas 3-3 Monterrey — Actual Match Statistics
Atlas and Monterrey shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Atlas had 36% of the ball to Monterrey's 64%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.11 to 1.10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Atlas and 1.83 for Monterrey.
What was the final score of Atlas vs Monterrey?
Atlas 3-3 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atlas vs Monterrey?
Before kick-off our model rated an Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atlas 32%, draw 29%, Monterrey 40%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.