Monterrey vs Atlas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterrey v Atlas — Team-Based Signals
Monterrey vs Atlas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Atlas
MEK
0-2
HT 0-0
Monterrey
MEK
2-0
HT 0-0
Atlas
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Atlas
MEK
1-1
HT 1-0
Monterrey
MEK
Monterrey 4-0 Atlas — Actual Match Statistics
Monterrey cruised past Atlas 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monterrey as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Monterrey had 53% of the ball to Atlas's 47%, shots finished 24-14, expected goals 2.72 to 0.85.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Monterrey and 0.33 for Atlas.
What was the final score of Monterrey vs Atlas?
Monterrey 4-0 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Atlas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 46%, draw 29%, Atlas 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.