Cruz Azul 2-0 Santos Laguna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒06:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.89
Over 2.5
62%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.53
2-3 Goals
35%
2.13
4-5 Goals
30%
2.5
6+ Goals
15%
5.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
77%
-11.8pp
19%
Draw
14%
+4.7pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
2.21/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.04
+1% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -14%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
431 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
25.9 Crosses 12.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruz Azul
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Santos Laguna
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.59 xG 1.78
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
358 Passes 272
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 3-0 HT 1-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
21.08.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-2 HT 2-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
30.04.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 3-2 HT 2-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
07.08.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 4-0 HT 1-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
28.02.2022 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-2 HT 0-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
02.08.2021 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-1 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruz Azul
2-0
AWAY Santos Laguna
2.07 xG 0.29
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
519 Passes 321
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
35 Box Touches 5
24 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul saw off Santos Laguna 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cruz Azul had 60% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 40%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 2.07 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos Laguna led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cruz Azul and 2.33 for Santos Laguna.

What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna?

Cruz Azul 2-0 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 66%, draw 19%, Santos Laguna 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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