Pachuca 6-2 Necaxa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒06:06 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 28% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
14%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.3pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pachuca EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Necaxa EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.63/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.34
-1% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 74%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
22.0 Crosses 15.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Necaxa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.17 xG 0.99
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
336 Passes 192
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
06.05.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 2-1 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
24.02.2024 Necaxa Necaxa 1-1 HT 1-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
01.10.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 1-1 HT 1-1 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
30.01.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 2-1 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
28.07.2022 Necaxa Necaxa 2-0 HT 1-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
06.02.2022 Necaxa Necaxa 1-3 HT 0-2 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
6-2
AWAY Necaxa
2.88 xG 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
340 Passes 331
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 15
4 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pachuca vs Necaxa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pachuca cruised past Necaxa 6-2. Half-time: 2-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pachuca as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Pachuca had 52% of the ball to Necaxa's 48%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 2.88 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pachuca and 1.17 for Necaxa.

What was the final score of Pachuca vs Necaxa?

Pachuca 6-2 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Necaxa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 44%, draw 30%, Necaxa 26%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pachuca), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pachuca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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